Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season
by
bitzizzix
on 11/04/2024, 12:31:21 UTC
Probably, if everything were so simple, the bookmakers would not give such generous odds - 1.83, does this not bother you?
It is clear that Milan is a big favorite (1.53 according to bookmakers) if we talk about the total result of the two games, but I am not sure that the victory will be easy. By the way, the chances for BTTS Yes are very interesting - 2.04. It seems to me that, taking into account the imperfect defense and good attack of both teams, the coefficient compensates for the risk.
Yep, both of the teams are sharp in attacking line, so each of them should able to score a goal. We can't really predict the result, there's a chance it will end in draw, just like in Champions League match yesterday where the two matches were draw.
Just checked the statistics. It turns out that Milan scored goals in all of the last 10 games, and Roma scored goals in 8 of the last 10 games. But judging by the odds on BTTS, bookmakers expect Milan to win dry. Questionable expectations - if you look at the Serie A standings, you can see that Milan is the worst in the top 4 in terms of the number of goals conceded and they concede more than one goal per game on average.
I watched several AC Milan matches, they played quite openly so there would be lots of goals scored in each match, whether they scored or conceded.
This will be a fierce match for both teams and indeed AC Milan is a slight favorite because it is playing at home, but I plan to bet on goal overs in this match, I think there will be a lot of goals scored in this match.
In my opinion, AC Milan often plays on the wing, which makes you assume that AC Milan plays openly. And if that was true they wouldn't have good capital by achieving 7 consecutive wins in all competitions and also wouldn't be in second place in their league. Apart from that, in AC Milan's last two matches against AS Roma, AC Milan always won.
And in the first leg of the Europa League quarter-finals, AC Milan is the favorite because apart from playing at home, AC Milan is better than AS Roma and this is a match that will indeed be a fierce match, but in my opinion AC Milan will beat AS Roma with thin score.