It's hard to determine which is good to hold after that it's been launched through Binance's launchpool and already tradable. But I see that you're looking at it in the long term and that's the idea of this thread of yours. Although you have already mentioned that you don't want to get some bnb and stake it for you to get it, I think you should just take that advantage if your sole focus is to get into launchpool as you'll buy them later on and that adds up to your potential purchase.

My advice, if you have a capital of $100k or more or you can hold 100BNB or more then you should stake BNB or FDUSD to join the launchpad on Binance. And the number of tokens will be divided according to the amount of BNB you stake and according to my participating experience from last season, a capital of 10k$ or less is insignificant.

Regarding the ROI of projects, we are in bull season and most projects bring quite good ROI. And most of them are quite quality projects, you can also hold them long-term to make a profit during this bull season. I also quite like participating launchpad on Binance, but due to limited capital, I haven't participated in a long time.