We have just witnessed the price of bitcoin hit a historic high of $73k, especially as we are about to enter the bitcoin halving period. Of course, your expectations are reasonable if you look at the history of the previous half. Even if there is a decline of %8 or %10, it is a healthy decline on the way to a higher increase.
so I think anything is possible for Bitcoin after the halving, I wouldn't be surprised if it hit 100k by the end of the year, and I wouldn't be surprised if bitcoin hit 150k. What is clear is that forecasting the short term is not a good idea. If you invest in Bitcoin, especially in large amounts, then you need to think about long-term investments, and you should buy as much as possible every dip because investing in Bitcoin is a plan for the future, not weekly, let alone daily.
Everyone probably won't be surprised if after the halving Bitcoin can immediately increase to reach $100K or more, because what happened before the halving was also beyond many people's expectations. So there are some people who are a little surprised when they see the ATH before the halving, which is new history for Bitcoin holders and now the time to see the halving is also not far away. So we all need to have a lot of patience to see more meaningful surprises in Bitcoin because if the goal is for the long term, of course it won't be so affected by the current price.
Of course bitcoin movement before the halving really got people wondering what might be in store for it's investors. It hasn't happened this way before that bitcoin will break a previous ATH before halving. That has also been an eye opener to people to know that bitcoin price movement can't be predicted by relying on past charts alone. With bitcoin breaking the past ATH before halving has really set in some level of confusion in the market because analysts don't know what else could happen, because bitcoin has reset everything and it seems that the entire process is now new. But one positive thing we can get from this is that as you rightly said, bitcoin is now getting back to $70k easily, with this the probability of it getting to $100k is now very likely.