Yes Bitcoin price has reached 63 thousand dollars currently. It is not unusual for Bitcoin to reach $40,000 to $45,000 after the halving. Your assumption may be correct. Again you mentioned that you are an old trader but your account is new so you have various discussions about this. But those investing and trading in Bitcoin must have an idea of where Bitcoin is headed next. As for those who are big traders, they definitely like to take big risks and they will mostly know through their experience when they should trade and when they shouldn't And if one has the intention to invest and hold on to buying bitcoins then I think you are right that even if they invest $63k now they still have the potential to make a profit after a long period of time.