In the betting or gambling sector, there has been an increase in the use of technology to make the game more interesting and profitable. Recently there has been news of a SuperComputer that can carry out complex simulations and give game predictions. Based on the Opta supercomputer prediction, Liverpool is the favorite to win the EPL with 45%, Manchester City with 33.6% while Arsenal has a 21.4% chance.
While in the Champions League, the SuperComputer had predicted that Atletico Madrid has the slimmest chance of winning with just 5% chance while Manchester City has the biggest chance with 41.2%.
Do you think these predictions are reliable?
To be honest with you, I can not rely on this predictions predicted by that supercomputer or whatever it's called, most especially, for the English premier league which is one tournament I've been following ever since the beginning of this season, Arsenal is looking to have a way better chances then even Manchester city, I can't say the same For Arsenal verses Liverpool, but then for now, I would say this two clubs have equal chances of winning the title this season, atleast, at the moment.
And back to the main topic of discuss, I will not completely rely of predictions made by super computers, reason being that, computers only work with previous data that is or was made available to them, they can not work with future data, because to them, such data don't exist yet.
And also, computers don't take the concept of luck into consideration, and we all know that luck alongside the players skill level, also plays a very important role in determining the outcome of some games, this is some thing I don't think machines or computers take into contest, like I said before, computers only work with data from previously played matches, it uses this data predict what the outcome of a future match would be, and you and I know that most of the time, dependence on previous data to determine who to bet on in a sports game usually fail, because one thing that is constant in life is change, nothing remains the same forever.