I wonder what "valid" means?. See, the chart is not always working aligned with news and analyst is as clueless as a regular person. Warren Buffett once famously said that even a monkey could pick stocks and predict the market with a 50% success rate.
My action in the uncertainty is risking less than 10% of my portfolio and only buying at the lowest price of a monthly candle. Other than that, stay USDT.
If you believe in Warren Buffett, you can follow what he says, but you also have to check whether he really likes Bitcoin investment. Because if it's just about investing in shares, I think you will find something more different when you start to believe in yourself to invest in Bitcoin after you find more knowledge to know more about Bitcoin. The Bitcoin price graph is not always in line with what analysts think, because if the graph can be in line with their thoughts, of course they will get rich more easily through investment and also through trading in the market.
But you don't need to be afraid of the price chart not being in line with the minds of many people as long as you have enough confidence in investing in Bitcoin for the long term. Because in any investment, apart from having to have money, each person must also have the courage and knowledge that is really needed. So that every investor does not only move based on other people's words regarding any investment, but rather based on their own intentions and beliefs regarding what they will choose to invest in in the long term.