Looking at the 2020 halving, the market didn't really start moving until 4 months later - is this likely to be the case after this recent halving too?
The bull season did not start as people expected so it will start at a time when people least expect, and unfortunately at that time there will be many holders of Bitcoin who already have sold off their Bitcoin in disappointment.
I still believe that what happened in the past can be used as a reference for what happened again in the future, even though it is not exactly the same, there are many things that can be matched.
Investors who are not aware of the past history of Bitcoin and the events that happened after the past halving will be quickly discouraged from holding. This is why knowing about the history of something which is a part of research is always very important because you could always draw encouragement from past experiences.