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This is an interesting discussion to have, but I doubt there are any reliable frameworks to come up with a "true and fair" value. At the end of the day, it only needs one freakish investor down the line who wants that piece of paper from you and is willing to pay 3 times the price. I am sure that most of us here have been shocked at times reading how much people are willing to pay for the weirdest items. One example:
First-generation iPhone sells at auction for $190,373, or nearly 380 times its original priceIf I had ever thought that this would one day be possible, I'd have stocked up on those iPhones. I believe this things like the paper you mentioned can indeed have value. But how much? I stopped being shocked about collectible items or historical papers and how much they can make you in an auction. To anticipate values is so difficult because as a response some people will collect some electronics out of principle just to realize that those items will never be as valuable as this aforementioned iPhone generation.
You don’t need to on this one.
I just jumped on eBay to see if I could find the item, first generation iPhones and it was right there, offered for sales by some vendors. Some still comes with a price ranged $80-400 but others was in the range of $1.5k and below. I guess these are the once that have heard the news on what it’s going for in auctions and decided to up the price while, the once with lower prices either haven’t heard the news or are replicas.
I’ve got reasons to think that the one that sold for an insane price as stated in the auction could be the prototype but, shouldn’t that be an Apple’s priceless item, well that’s the point, owning the supposedly priceless item but, it doesn’t mean much either. I would still be seeing just how much I spent to get that thing should it not be giving me some return on investment.