This came up as a side discussion in another thread, and I thought it would be interesting as a top-level discussion here.
The notion is this: although taking over 50% of the Bitcoin hashrate would be a practical impossibility for any private actor or even a small country, China, as a country, has at times hosted over 50% of Bitcoin's hashrate, and it's thus plausible they could make this happen again if they wanted to.
And whomever controls over 50% of the hashrate can dictate the software in use, and/or dictate the contents of the blockchain. As the theory goes, if China wanted to wreak havoc on the world economy, or if it wanted to extract a ransom, or if it simply wanted to profit by inserting its own blocks, then... it could. They could do anything. Perhaps China could decide that Satoshi's blocks should be given away to charity. Maybe they change the architecture so that it worked better in China, or conformed to their "laws" or something.
So this brings up questions:
1. Is this technically possible?
2. What would be the technical implications of China doing this?
3. What would be the geopolitical implications?
4. What would this do the broader cryptocurrency sector?
5. Have major governments e.g. the US and NATO countries ever (publicly) announced any contingency planning around this problem? Putting a $1.5T asset at risk is something that could rattle the entire world economy. This seems like something they would at least think through?
Looking forward to people's thoughts...
I still don't know why the world is so skeptical about China taking over from the United States. Would there be anything bad if China takes over? I don't see anything wrong with that but let's hope to see what would be the out of China eventually becomes the largest holders of Bitcoin. The United States cannot keep controlling everything but I think there would be nothing wrong if we see that China becomes the largest holders of bitcoins as a country. El Salvador is still accumulating more of Bitcoin and we should but be surprised that she has not enough Bitcoin compared to big countries like China and the United States.