Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time?
by
davis196
on 27/05/2024, 06:14:59 UTC
I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

I usually lose, when I'm confident about my sports bets. Maybe that's why I make really small bets and I tend to avoid parlay bets.
Trusting your gut feeling is a wrong approach, if you ask me. You need proper analysis of the teams you are betting on.
Don't fool yourself that your new method is going to win consistently. Maybe you just got lucky and in the next time your bets, that are opposite to your analysis are going to lose. At the end of the day, sports betting is based on luck, just like every other form of gambling.