Bitcoin reaches $100k before this year ends, in my opinion the possibility is very small, but in the next halving, it is very likely that the price of bitcoin will penetrate $100k or even pass it. bitcoin has entered the global market and large institutions can now buy bitcoin via Bitcoin ETF, with this kind of convenience, when there is positive news, the price of bitcoin will be pumped, the price of bitcoin will no longer fall below $50k, the price will continue to rise and that's for sure.
Yes, ETFs also have positive and negative impacts on the market, but at least they triggered the previous BTC price increase. Regarding the prediction that the price will be 100K, of course it is true as you mean above because there are all stages that must be gone through.
There are quite a lot of things that slow down the rise in BTC prices, whether it is bed news or other factors. What is certain is that BTC will be more enthusiastic in the future with its new ATH record.