I believe the new war is technological; what we are seeing is a distraction, a smokescreen to divert our attention, so we don't realize the technological war. Whoever manages to decrypt the price of BTC, they have won automatically. A few (multinational) guys conveniently moving whales, you lose, I win but I give you a bonus. And if that's the case, I propose the legalization of BTC (WITHOUT KYC), open discussion from the educational system; we will teach all subjects on a laptop with complex algorithms to pass the subjects. That would be an example. BTC has already become the best long-term investment asset. Adoption has to happen; it is necessary; it would be a transfer of power from the old with little technological knowledge to the adults/young people who are tired of receiving crumbs from the pie. What's truly interesting is that in every war, there are casualties. Who will be the future sell?
It's only one side of the picture that you've talked about but it's not that easy to decrypt the price of BTc otherwise people would have easily done that and the results would have favoured them. BTc is not predictable especially after the recent incidence of BTCs performance after halving we have seen that the market is so volatile and unpredictable.
There are some unknown factors that are controlling the prices of BTc along with other altcoins and they are still unknown.