I manually counted 10 pages. If you think my sample size is too small, feel free to count
all 152 pages for a much larger sample size.
Math time!
118 rolls (and correcting my mistake from 2018):
Is it possible that not all winners came to the Bitcointalk forum and reported their winnings? 5 or 10 big wins in this statistic can significantly change the final assessment, and that is quite a possible scenario.