A probability of 30% may be more appropriate based on the reality of the gambler's statement, if reaching a high probability it may require a higher budget, but believe me nothing can guarantee the return of funds from gambling except the luck factor.
Hashtag recovery of funds in gambling is the biggest mistake that causes higher losses in the future, the motivation to achieve recovery of funds from gambling is very unlikely and the level of probability is low, so the right step is to stop gambling for today and come back again to bet tomorrow days with a gambling budget according to the level determined according to your finances.
That's true, indeed, when the funds staked in gambling are lost, there is little chance of it being able to return unless luck is on your side and it's not certain when it will happen because of course luck will only happen occasionally, it won't happen often because if luck happens it will happen quickly. every so often then I think the house will go bankrupt and close its casino. therefore in gambling of course luck plays and has an important role, with those who bet like anything it certainly involves luck, even if they gamble with the strategy they have which is considered accurate they can get a win or with those who say they bet with a higher amount it can be said more will definitely result in a win but that doesn't affect their luck, if they are not lucky or don't have the right timing then they won't get a win.
I agree with that, indeed when someone gambles and ends up losing and has the thought of recovering the lost funds, that is an action that is not recommended because it will only cause them to become addicted further and of course that will be followed by bigger losses. The action that must definitely be taken when experiencing defeat is to stop gambling, so as not to increase the risk of losses that could occur if we do not stop gambling when we have experienced defeat or consecutive defeats.