Trying to keep it short:
crank down the amount of the bet, if the amount bothers you
If the bet is +EV for me, I try to bet as much as possible, bounded by the Kelly formula of course. If it is -EV, I don't bet anything.
the money should just be a side issue, just to give assurance that you are willing to put some skin in the game
No thanks. I bet to win, if at all.
Windjc would be willing to give you some odds.
Too late. He had ample time.
you, Rpietila, used the word "never" which implies that you think 100%, so you should be more than willing to bet 50% odds when you make such a statement.
"never" is part of the event clause: ( P("bitcoin will never go to 435") = X% ).
Never was it indicated that X equals 0%.