Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Merits 2 from 2 users
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
JayJuanGee
on 13/06/2024, 03:59:21 UTC
⭐ Merited by Biodom (1) ,AlcoHoDL (1)
Those who started buying/mining before 2013 should have thousands if they held a majority of btc bought or mined.
2013-2016: 20-200 btc or thereabout.
After 2016- highly variable

I think that there is likely to be a lot of variance, depending both on how long someone might have been accumulating BTC and also how aggressive or whimpy such persons they might have had been in such BTC accumulation process... and maybe even accounting for some mistakes that were made along the way.

Maybe we could project something like a 4-year (1 cycle) accumulation of BTC, and then maybe another cycle of maintenance which might also include some relatively small levels of additional BTC accumulation.. but maybe also largely maintaining the original amount of BTC that was largely accumulated in the first whole cycle..

so maybe something like the below for the various 4-year accumulation phases... I am not sure if I should fill in the amount invested, since it may well continue to go up, so the earlier a person got in, the less that he would have had to have invested in terms of total dollar amounts.. .and so the later would have had been higher dollar amounts and getting way fewer coins, even with way more invested.

2012-2016 = 50-400 BTC

2013-2017= 35-280 BTC

2014-2017= 25-250 BTC

2015-2018= 18-180 BTC

2016-2019= 15-130 BTC

2017-2020= 12-100 BTC

2018-2021= 10-80 BTC

2019-2022= 7-60 BTC

2020-2023= 4-45 BTC

2021-2024= 1-28 BTC

2022-2025= .021-18 BTC

Need I continue?  We can see where this is going.  Way more capital accumulating way fewer bitcoin.

70's now gone?  
You'll never see sub $70K prices ever again.

That did not age well.