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-snip-I think that to date Bitcoin has already broken all the patterns, including the no ATH before a cycle, no going below the previous ATH, no double ATH in a cycle, and a hundred more, it's about time we let go of the past and put more of an accent on what is expected in future.
I agree with your opinion - but how can we forget everything considering that there are still many people who really use the past as a benchmark in predicting the future?
As far as I know - the current optimism of holder and investor is because they have learned from past history, but it is perhaps somewhat realistic that now that pattern has been broken. The same pattern may or may not be repeated at all - but there are many other factors that support the same pattern repeating itself considering that we are pass the second month after the halving
[third month on going]. High flows in Spot ETF are likely to be expected throughout the year - but lower interest rates are certainly hopes.