First, some context: I am in no way a Bitcoin maximalist — I think there's some value outside of Bitcoin, but ultimately BTC is my 'main' crypto holding and every profit I make with altcoins has always been exchanged back into BTC.

In crypto bull markets, the common opinion is that in a full-blown bull market, pretty much everything goes up unison. This is based on crypto's general performance back in the last bull market of 2017.

The thing is, people seem to expect the same thing in this cycle. Do I think it will be the same whereas pretty much everything goes up? I don't think so. Capital and attention are too spread out and too diluted.

Compared to 2017 — as if we didn't have so many coins/tokens already back then, we have far more coins and tokens now; we're talking huge multiples more coins/tokens. Money will be too spread out this cycle that price pumps will likely be heavily suppressed.

I and a lot of people here frequently say that BTC is the better pick for the masses(which has always been true), but regardless, I'm usually only like 10% BTC overall most of the time because I like risk and I have been historically successful with picking altcoins. But this cycle? I have far fewer altcoin holdings and am more concentrated on BTC as the r/r has gotten worse with altcoins, and I think a lot of people will be disappointed — regardless if we generally continue to go up or not.

Will there still be altcoins that will achieve huge multiples? There will always be such altcoins.

Will I be right? Maybe, maybe not. Time will tell.