Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Bitcoin puzzle transaction ~32 BTC prize to who solves it
by
kTimesG
on 20/06/2024, 15:14:09 UTC

Avg 463.6y with single RTX 3090 GPU (Kangaroo-256-bit).
I need approximately 464 GPUs to solve the problem in 1 year.

So you will need this time to all range or may be you get it early?

Kangaroo is a probabilistic algorithm, so you have exactly the same chances as if playing the lottery, but the probability is "if I use 464 RTX 3090 GPUs at 100% for one year using this random piece of software published on the internet that I have no idea how it works, there's a 99.9% chance I win."

You might find the key in the first second (almost 0% probability) or after an year with hundreds of top-end GPUs working together (almost 100% chances, but lots of $$$ and time to invest with a very high risk of losing everything without any profit).

Take into account that:
- a lot of people already tried, are trying, and will try;
- the costs involved and whether you can afford the risk;
- the chance that someone else may find it during this time; you have zero guarantees it's worth the pursue; maybe tomorrow the creator empties all the addresses;
- no one is dumb enough to publish FREE software that works better then what's available publicly, those are merely proof of concept; everyone's on their own;
- this is not a map toward some pirate's treasure chest you've found in a cave - everyone knows about it.

If you don't understand the risks then the best strategy is to forget about the topic and get on with your life.