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At the moment the draw is good for Slovenia, but the score of the other match is very important. There have been no goals in either match so far. Even though England are clearly superior, they are having a hard time creating positions. Even if they got into a few positions, I would expect more scoring chances despite playing so much ball. I think Slovenia is playing its best game against England because there are big differences between the two squads.
Because Slovenia has the opportunity to be the best three team for four teams that will qualify. Then Slovenia was also lucky because the Danish vs Serbia match ended the same, namely a draw.
Excellent in a number of match statistics do not have an impact on the expected results. This is their worst form compared to the previous Euro and their performance at the 2022 World Cup.
England the team which was originally favored by the bookies with the best odds, but in three matches they were only able to win 1 victory and 2 draws.
Of the 3 Group C matches, the England squad was only able to score two goals.
A very different result from expected.