I think you are right that people are mostly guessing about Kompany future because he has not done great job in past. Some people still believe in the Kompany but it is reasonable to have doubts. I also think that when anyone is given more responsibility they can rise to challenge and do better than before. So I think it is fair to keep an open mind and consider that Kompany might surprise us and do a good job. By doing this we can balance our doubts with willingness to give them chance to show what they can do.
The condemnation that Kompany is getting from people is becoming too much I know it is a bad idea to expect too much from him at this period, with this kind of mindset people have about him already he seriously needs to clear people of the doubt they have about him think of what is first move is going to be, there is no move yet for a new player, the man might not have done well in the past but that does not mean that he as not improved and this is a new everything for him so in other for him, it a perfect chance for him to clear himself that he is worth being the coach of Bayern, I hate negative comments it as a way of reducing peoples aura, Bayern is making moves to get Florian and if they are going to sign him then that is going to be good news for Bayern. people should at least give Kompany a chance and after this season then they can make their comments everyone deserves a chance.