Im not recommending trading, I wouldnt do that any more then recommending the next horse to win a race. There is a parallel in trading and gambling I agree, but people do want to discuss the market direction and I think that is fair to discuss and whether people act with conviction to buy more or less is upto them. I agree people should be doing DCA in growth assets & I would have agreed with that strategy even before BTC was invented.
Majority of people wont be good at trading, if BTC is a bull market - it is, then there is a higher danger of missing out elevated by trading. Iam interested in trading but nobody should be betting they are correct with all their BTC, its such a volatile market that would be very difficult to achieve .
Well anybody can choose to do what they want to do but there is somuch risk in trading I wouldn't advise anybody to be interested in trading Bitcoin seeing Bitcoin as a tradable coin can be very wrong for Bitcoin is more profitable if hodl for long and not to trade in a short term perspective for there is no how you can compare those investors that held there Bitcoin for long and those that go for short term purpose for those that hold for long will be happier compare to short term traders.
You sound like an inexperienced trader. Though it's good advice if one can not handle trading, investment is less risky, so why not opt for it? Still, you do not have to discourage people, especially with Bitcoin trading which I deem to be one of the easiest assets to be traded in the financial market. But the issue with people is that they would want to trade Bitcoin in the regular way, that's off. Any margined products will always be risky, which is why one may plan the trading accornding to the nature of Bitcoin.
I don't see any reason or whatsoever why Bitcoin should be traded whether you plan to trade it on a regular or irregular basis you need to understand that Bitcoin is a high valuable asset and it will be a lack of courage and confidence for any one to trade Bitcoin for short term profits. Bitcoin is a super asset that needs to be stored for future benefits instead of trading with it to make quick gains. Even though there may be traders who are experienced but if they should trade there are other assets they can choose to trade and not Bitcoin because trading Bitcoin will be a kind of demeaning the asset which is a very wrong investment approach.
Its a well known fact that Bitcoin moves in season/cycle, so why not wait till a bearish season ends and buy your Bitcoin on the futures market with the right plan and management? This trade is set to be left alone for at least a year and many months. Any trader who can do this regularly will not have any reason to be sad about Bitcoin trading, it's only the short-term traders who have enough to worry about.
Even if there is bear and bull seasons it doesn't mean you should just buy in bear season with the hopes that you would sell in bull season as Bitcoin investments should not only be targeted between the bear and bull seasons but should be how much accumulation you've got in your portfolio and how long you have been able to hold. Talking about making investments for a year and some months is almost same as trading because a year or two is not even enough to consider selling your Bitcoin but you can be investing for a period of 5-10 years or even more than, the reason for HODLing that long is to enable you own a huge portfolio before you can decide to sell part of your Bitcoin for profits during the bull season as you may deem fit.