Ninjastic
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
octaft
on 28/04/2014, 09:20:39 UTC
Quote from: chessnut on April 28, 2014, 09:13:00 AM
Quote from: windjc on April 28, 2014, 09:09:18 AM
Quote from: octaft on April 28, 2014, 09:06:39 AM
Quote from: chessnut on April 28, 2014, 07:52:00 AM
Quote from: windjc on April 28, 2014, 07:34:21 AM
Quote from: rpietila on April 28, 2014, 07:31:43 AM
Nobody compelled me to compose memoirs, so they are there for a purpose. Perhaps I will tell, perhaps not.  Grin

So you made a bold prediction - "won't go below 435!" Then you wanted 7 to 1 odds against it. LOL! Are you even listening to yourself?

I'm not trying to be hard on you and yes, I admit I called you out, only to try to get you to take the bet quickly. You don't like to take reasonable bets, only unreasonable ones, so I thought I might gode you into a reasonable one.

But you are making yourself look bad here, not me or anyone else.

7:1 odds are a bargain, very reasonable indeed to even the slightest bear. you should have taken the bet.

He never offered him 7:1 odds, for one thing. He only mentioned that is what he would be willing to accept after the fact.

If you're talking shit that it's NEVER going to break 435 again, putting your money where your mouth is would be taking pretty much any bet for any odds that came your way, assuming you weren't bullshitting, which he obviously was. Not taking an even money bet on something you perceive to be a lock is ridiculous, so his mouth said "never below 435" but his money said "eh, like 20% chance of not under 435." See the difference?

Yeah, Chessnut is just angry at me and so butthurt he can't see straight.  He also shares a trait with Rpeitila in that he is NEVER EVER wrong. Right, 100% of the time. Both of them.

It's truly amazing.

lol windjc will be following my trades to the contrary. he said so. I told him to buy at 425 (so he sold  Cheesy). we will see who is buthurt soon enough.

Yeah I don't care about the dick-swinging contest you two are having, I'm just pointing out that your assumptions about the bet were incorrect based on my recall of the situation. I'd also add that assuming someone who thinks their side of the bet is an absolute lock wants 7:1 and immediately offering them that would be incredibly stupid in windjc's position. The guy is talking as if there is no doubt in his mind he will win, why the hell would you offer someone talking like that odds? Of course, rpietila needed an out, because, as he readily admitted himself, he was nowhere near certain that it would not drop below 435.