Let not be overwhelming specualtive, yes bitcoin have the potential to achieve all the predicted price and 2024 or beyond is what we can not predict now, but since you said that this analysis is based on you, that justifies your assumptions, but to say that bitcoin will reach $500k or above before the next bitcoin halving cycle is way out of my assumption, because I still think we will be around $150k BTC to like 200k which is well enough for me if you should ask, because bitcoin halving is just few years cycle that happens most frequently and for that, we shouldn't expect such a price movements.
First we need to establish the certainty of the year in question and I will suggest that you should at least arrange the year and what expected price range will be, because that will help us more in making our analysis and speculations, but above all let us expect some exciting moments in the years ahead.