Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: The impact of Russian and Ukrain war on world economy
by
pooya87
on 11/08/2024, 17:47:31 UTC
I wouldn't be so happy about Kursk if I were you. From a military perspective and only with first look, it may seem like a good thing to do, to take Russian territories to have something in the negotiations. Specially since THE big counter attack failed before.
But with a deeper look, this was a terrible move. Let me explain:

For starters, after looking at the maps it looks like those Ukrainian forces are going to have a lot of logistics problems. The supply routes can easily be cut and all those troops that went in could be cut off then either killed or taken prisoner.
Also I'm no expert but by looking at the maps, the position NATO chose and ordered for this operation is like a "wedge" that is between all Russian territory. You'll understand what I mean by looking at the Google map, I colored Russia red and the green arrow shows the rough direction of where Ukrainian forces are advancing. As you can see they are already half surrounded! Not only they are going into hostile territory but also their support lines in the back are already surrounded on two sides by Russia!
This means all their supply routes and logistics can potentially go under attack from two sides (two red arrows) cutting them off. Without constant line of support they may not be able to hold what they take for long.


Secondly, the way Ukraine regime is pulling everything they have to this new front, deploying lots of troops, ammunition, defense batteries, artilleries, armor, etc. it is thinning their strength in all other fronts. Russian advances could become faster everywhere else due to decreased resistance. Not to mention that Russia could open up a new front, maybe further north to thin the Ukrainian forces even more.

Finally from the perspective of third parties who aren't on either side of this war, we should all be worried because there is a certain stupidity involved in this operation NATO designed that inches us closer to a nuclear war. If what the analysts are saying comes true and Ukrainians manage to take over the nearby Russian nuclear facility and pose a "nuclear threat" to Russia, that could be be used as an excuse for Russia to also "pose a nuclear threat" to Ukraine. It's the same logic as "cluster munition" and a lot of other things. Russia started using cluster munition after US deployed this type in Ukraine.
Things could rapidly escalate to worsen the situation if those facilities are damaged, whether intentionally or unintentionally. The nuclear explosion inside Russian soil would only give Russia the legitimacy to strike Ukraine using nuclear weapons... That's not something anybody wants.