I never claim to know, either, yet intuitively there always seems to be a motive from the bears to try to push the BTC price as low as they can and to keep it as low as they can for as long as they can, yet there are various times when they are not able to achieve their objectives, and the BTC price goes up and gets out of hand to such an extent that it has to get to some kind of a pausing place in order that the bears can resume their mission of pushing the BTC price down... Kind of a simplistic explanation, and surely we have forces on both sides... and some might refer to BTC price dynamics as a sign of a kind of underlying war or a battle.. and yeah, there is likely some truth to that, including that those of us who have been accumulating BTC or continue to hold and/or accumulate BTC are the beneficiaries of a wealth transfer battle that no coiners likely would prefer not to happen.. so there are likely some forces within the representation of no coiners who would rather get your coins rather than you benefiting from the ongoing wealth transfer that is happening from the no coiners to the coiners.