let me clarify something for you if you didn’t understand about bitcoin trading and why you view it as something that is very hard. It's just because you find it hard to conduct adequate and deep research, and to find this research is definitely hard. I can’t lie, as a trader, that it depends on prediction and probability. Did you still know that those profits that you will courteously get from each trading for that interval of 4–10 years will be more than the profit that a bitcoin investor will gain in 4 or 10 years? If you think I am lying, go and make a rough estimation, and you will see my point.
I do not agree with you on that because there is no way you would tell me that the profit you would make from trading in the next 4 to 10 years time will be higher than what we the long term holders will achieve in the future, I seriously doubt it, so perhaps if you are judging from other traders success to compare it to holders you are obviously making a mistake because you are clouded by the profit to realize the risk behind trading, actually from your statement I understand that profit seeking is really one of the things that differentiate long term holders and traders mindset which is why traders could not realize that holding Bitcoin is actually the best investment because not just the profit you would get after holding but also the feeling of realization that your investment is secured.