Since the price is currently $440 this represents a 22.72 x return over 3 years or approx. 283% per annum.
This tells me the market thinks there is a very very small chance of this event occurring - if it was probable the price would be a lot higher already.
I think not.
Next rise is just around the corner, and it will hit 5k or more.
I'm thinking it will be around this too. I have a hard time thinking that if it goes up again (in a similar fashion to all of the other violent increases before) it's going to blow past the old ATH, and $2,000 on it's way to somewhere in that $3k-5k range. Lots more eyes on BTC this year than there were last year.