His talk about odds was ambiguous at best b/c he spoke out of two sides of his mouth by saying out of one side of his mouth that the price would never reach $435.. and then saying out of the other side of his mouth that he wants odds in his favor. These two statements are ambiguous and seem to be contradictory and it was up to him to clarify them.. and he failed/refused to clarify until afterwards.. and even afterwards it remains unclear what bet and what odds he would have taken in such hypothetical circumstances.
Yeah, I couldn't be bothered to calculate too hard on it but it seems to me that if you think something won't happen really strongly, you would be willing to accept odds against yourself (in favor of the person who expects the unlikely event to occur.) but he seemed to be wanting it the other way around.
If you were to bet me the moon would rise purple tonight, I might give you 100:1 odds because I'd be fairly confident it wasn't going to happen. I might go higher even but there's not much point exposing myself to high risk for a small gain, regardless.
I'm NOT hating on Rpietila - b/c I could care less whether he got his prediction correct or NOT and I am all for BTC to the moon and don't go below $435... etc.. etc.. , but it is a little irritating when he seems to purposefully leave the terms of the bet matters ambiguous, and then suggests that several of us are below him b/c we cannot understand his supposedly sophisticated logic.