Nothing wrong with being realistic, but we have 38 Games to play in the Premier League Competition, just 3 fixtures has been held, there'll be long term changes, my picks are simply based on long term not just for the moment.
The only reason why people are not rating Arsenal enough to win this Premier League Competition is because they don't have a proven striker like Erling Haaland. It was the same thing that happened last season, but I'm not giving up on them regardless of the fact that they're so recalcitrant towards getting one CF! Liverpool don't have the sqaud depth to contest for this premier league campaign. Immediately the Champions League Competition kicks in, they'll definitely fall off due to stress and fatigue.. Week in and out Newcastle will be playing only the Premier League Competition, I placed Chelsea ahead of them but I've come to think about it, they stand a better chance of contesting ahead. Saying Manchester United are playing horrible is laughable but then, you are entitled to your opinion. Maybe about this particular situation.
I think exactly the same about the striker difference between Arsenal and Manchester City. At one side, there is Haaland. But at the other side, there is Havertz who isn't even a natural striker.

Arsenal was actually going to sign Gyökeres but it failed... I assume they found Sporting's asking price too high. But he was still worth it. Making a single signing was going to be enough already. They have a great squad.
Lastly I don't know whether you are a Manchester United fan. But you must also be unsatisfied with this performance. I really want them to get better of course. I miss Alex Ferguson times...