That's a fairly conservative prediction, but I think you're putting too much faith in Man United. It really doesn't look like they improved anything since the last season, if anything, they look even worse. I was surprised they didn't replace Ten Hag. I'm not saying he's a bad manager, but things simply don't work.
And I have mixed feelings about Chelsea. I think they'll struggle to break into the top 4.

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Seems like everyone expects Man City to win the title 5th year in a row. I wouldn't mind that, but I think either Arsenal or Liverpool might snatch it from them this time.