I do not think Real Madrid will have easy time in Champions League with their current team. They have history of doing well in tournament but last year they got lucky because of mistakes made by other teams. They also won some games at very last minute. Other teams like Bayern Munich could have won if they made different decisions. This means Real Madrid did not just win because they were best but also because of things outside of their control. So I think they will face problems in Champions League with their current team.
Why do you think this? Real Madrid hasn't changed the team, they've just added a couple of pieces, so I don't see any reason to say that the team isn't good.
I am convinced, very convinced, that Real Madrid will get to the end, as usual.
I'm not sure he will be able to win the cup again, but he will certainly reach the semi-final.