You know that betting on elections has a high chance of being manipulated, right?
I understand that what you brought up is fun at first, but it is certainly a type of betting that people should stay far away from.

Look... for Trump, for example, it won't make much difference in his campaign if he purposely swaps the word Bitcoin for Cryptocurrencies in his speech, or if he decides to say Bitcoin several times in a row to emphasize a very specific topic.
However, if he (or someone close to him) has made this bet, he will be able to raise a good amount of money much more easily and without raising suspicion than a player who scores an own goal or intentionally receives a red card.

Anyway, I don't like political betting for these reasons.