That's what I want to tell people: invest in bitcoin with a long-term plan, don't rely too much on the 4-year cycle because there is no guarantee that it will repeat. This is a mistake I see everyone making, both old and new investors, people are too subjective and claim that history will repeat itself again and have no backup plan. Many people are so optimistic about the 4-year cycle that they invest money they cannot afford to lose, or many long-time investors are giving investment advice to newbies based on a 4-year cycle while they themselves have no idea whether that cycle will repeat itself. Which is alarming rather than commendable or proud.
What happened is that the 4 year period is something that is incredibly repeated, although in the intrinsic environment that you say you are right, the market is not governed by routines or by the patterns that occur because I leave that is not fulfilled and it does not have a logical sense either, but we can intuit that every 4 years there is an important movement, that is like in the stock market that everything comes back after 8 or 10 years, in btc the accumulation and distribution cycles may be fulfilled, then in this aspect we have to be very clear when trying to understand the btc cycles, I divide it into accumulation, bullish trend and distribution, of course right now in the period we are in it is like another re-accumulation.