In light of the Fed cut 50 bps, I'm 'speculating' in this WO thread...
...a hot war in the Middle East by March-April 2025. Possibly kicked off as early as February.
They will need a "reason" to crash markets (and thus rates back to zero).
I guess we'll see.
Do not “over-conspiracy” at some point BTC needs to decouple from some things
War’s can easily crash a lot of things, but at the same time it also possible for BTC to rise to some new highs.
Yeah, I could see how you would read what I wrote as bearish BTC news.
I guess I was unclear when I said "markets".
I don't consider BTC to be a traditional market. Although with the algo bots and ETFs, they have tied it a little bit to the larger trad market.
The last time all markets crashed in 2021, BTC and the PM's went down too.
But then BTC and PMs went on a tear to all new ATHs because traders and algo bots were front running the absolute flood of freshly printed Fed dollars.
This will indeed happen again.
It's not a matter of "if", but "when".