YOU ARE IN CRYPTO MARKET.
SO DON'T APPLY LOGIC.
JUST REMEMBER
BULL MARKET = HALVING + 18 MONTHS
BULL MARKET = US ELECTION + 12 MONTHS
BULL MARKET = QE BY FED, INCREASE IN M2 SUPPLY
We may see many contrary opinions about this, because even some times after halving, the market of bitcoin may tend to fall, so if we are into what may caused us the fear of missing out, then we may not go by other values we have in crypto that we can still rise again at any point, even when the market falls dip, but as for the bull market, its better that we take a good cognizance that bitcoin is mainly determined by the market demand and supply rate
indeed usually market falls after halving but market also starts picking up when big event occurs, that is 50bps fed rate cut, this is what trigger previous bullrun to occur, as well as causing S&P500 reaching ATH, bitcoin usually lags behind but it will also sets new ATH record eventually, bitcoin is pretty much following the pattern of other investments right now. so the statement that halving could cause price downfall may not hold candle this time around.
btc as much as I know, could just directly go very bullish but that's also not healthy, a good bullish is when the price having occasional retracement but still stay inline with the projected price trajectory.