Are all of the interviews in the trailer original? I got the feeling that several of them were interviews I saw many years ago, though I could be wrong.
My current feeling on Satoshi's identity is:
- Sassaman is a very bad candidate. If this is their conclusion, then they totally failed to do proper research.
- 50% chance it's someone nobody's ever heard of, and nobody will ever figure it out
- 35% chance it's Hal Finney. (Over time, I've moved more probability into this category.)
- 10% chance it's someone else in the Bitcoin-verse
- 5% chance it's a group within the CIA
But I'm really not a fan of the whole "search for Satoshi" genre. Being anonymous, Satoshi is an excellent myth and source of inspiration, since we can't see much of his flawed humanity. Mythical-Satoshi is a humble man who, with a lot of persistence and skill, but not with a level of brilliance beyond the reach of us mortals, single-handedly created a clockwork device so powerful that it shook the world. And then, in an action which nobody in the traditional halls of power would ever take, he had the wisdom to walk away: a modern Cincinnatus. I like that myth very much, and I'd rather it not be tainted by association with an actual human.
The problem with these kind of shows is that it doesn't matter if you state the facts,
everybody who watches the documentary is going to believe it's true because that's what they said. Wikipedia is going to write it, because it came from an 'authoritative source' (i.e. someone with a lot of traffic). Every news source is going to quote HBO whenever they write an article about Satoshi.
Now there are going to be a lot of flying monkeys coming here to ask about Len Sassaman like this
deleted r/Bitcoin post.
They will not only come here to ask about him, they will also ask about the nature of his death. "Why did he kill himself"?, "Did he actually kill himself/no foul play"?, "There was someone who posted something in BitcoinTalk that he will do something. It was one month before his suicide, shouldn't THAT be a matter of interest"?
Those sorts of questions that will create a narrative and rebuild interest on the question - "Who actually is Satoshi Nakamoto"? The newbies will like it.