Probably like a 1 in 100 chance we see an upset here. Inoue is just built different. He got knocked down once but got back up and destroyed his opponent. Honestly, I think Nery was better than Goodman in experience, so I’m not really hyped for this fight. I think the betting will mostly be about which round Goodman gets knocked out --'cause the winner feels like a done deal already.
That’s kinda underestimating Inoue's challenger and overhyping Inoue. He was -6500 against Doheny, which means like a 98.5% chance to win. So yeah, you might be right about that one. But this time, he's up against a better opponent with a solid ranking, so maybe it's more like 90% -- still pretty high.
Well Sam Goodman fight is all in Australia and we all know that he is Australian, so he fight with confidence in his home country just like Inoue. So he is very much home grown fighter and usually if they step out in their comfort zone, they are pretty much destroyed.
And so I guess that Nery could be a tough customer than Sam Goodman, Nery has fought a lot as well if my memory serves me right so he has a lot of experience. But that was not enough for the Inoue fight as he had his time to score a upset by knocking Inoue down, but Inoue come back strong and go for a knockout win. That's how tough Inoue is, but not sure if he can also conquer the next weight class with ease.