- Will Ulbricht be released (as in be a free man not just have his sentence commuted) on January 20 or 21, 2025 (ie. the first day in office)?
I don't think so... it's looking bleak for him.
- Will US government stop attacking Bitcoin?
No.
- Will the US government stop forcing American miners to censor transactions which is a clear violation of one of the main principles of Bitcoin?
No.
- Will the US government stop attacking anything remotely privacy related? For instance will shutting down mixing services including CoinJoin tools stop? Will arresting of such devs (like Samourai Wallet dev) stop?
Hell no. BestMixer was taken down during Trump's time, remember?
- Will the US government tone down its surveillance and attempt to control everything and everyone specifically those who own cryptocurrencies?
No (but I suspect after Elon guts everything there will be nobody left to audit cryptocurrency holders).
- Will the unfair rules they keep enforcing on centralized services like exchanges stop? Rules like invasive and strict KYC and the nonsense with "taint" censorship?
Absolutely not. Remember that RFK Jr. is running healthcare,
not finance.
- Will the OFAC stop its sanctions on Bitcoin?
You and I will be dead before this ever happens.
- Will the tax laws become friendlier when it comes to cryptocurrencies or will they get worse as the budget deficit and government debt grow larger?
The only thing I'm actually positive about, given that this incoming government seems to hate exorbitant capital gains tax, so they will probably slash it.
Feel free to add your own rhetorical questions below. Things you know are unlikely to change just because some politician gave some promises while he needed votes...
Trump will probably not end the wars in Ukraine and Palestine either. I mean he can't do
anything about it except for blocking weapons shipments.