- Will Ulbricht be released (as in be a free man not just have his sentence commuted) on January 20 or 21, 2025 (ie. the first day in office)?
He promise this before when he re-elect here is the details
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/05/26/trump-pledges-to-free-silk-road-creator-ross-ulbricht-if-re-elected/amp/So provably this will happen because this is what he say to people while campaigning.
- Will US government stop attacking Bitcoin?
Maybe not totally they would stop, but for sure it will lessen. There are still government officials there which is still against bitcoin so provably they continue to do those actions.
- Will the US government stop forcing American miners to censor transactions which is a clear violation of one of the main principles of Bitcoin?
I guess this activities might continue US want want to know everything.
- Will the US government stop attacking anything remotely privacy related? For instance will shutting down mixing services including CoinJoin tools stop? Will arresting of such devs (like Samourai Wallet dev) stop?
I guess not, it will continue. Government don't like anonymity.
- Will the US government tone down its surveillance and attempt to control everything and everyone specifically those who own cryptocurrencies?
Provably it will continue that because we know government always take the lead on things they now useful to them.
- Will the unfair rules they keep enforcing on centralized services like exchanges stop? Rules like invasive and strict KYC and the nonsense with "taint" censorship?
KYC is already there and I believe it continue to be asked to people who used a platform which is being regulated by them.
- Will the OFAC stop its sanctions on Bitcoin?
If Trump would comply to what he promise and ask OFAC to stop their sanction then provably it will happen.
- Will the tax laws become friendlier when it comes to cryptocurrencies or will they get worse as the budget deficit and government debt grow larger?
I guess it will go the same as you pay fiat, since if adapt and think about bitcoin is another form of currency then provably he will treat it if not the same close to fiat where they ask to people to pay their taxes. But we cannot conclude yet about what will happen if this could really help their economy or government will be the same and debt will grow more bigger.