Re: 🚨 Stake.com’s Rigged House Games? Unmasking the Flawed Math Behind Their “Fair”
Can you clarify what game you are referring here since there’s a lot of original games available on Stake. I’m not familiar on what game has a house edge of 0.5% though.
But you should input the winning percentage set on the game to determine the win/loss ratio if it will match to the outcome or not. 300K is indeed a good size for sample imho which can already use to check the math.
What I’m skeptical about this was all the original games of Stake is provably fair. I’m not sure how they can cheat with the result.
But you should input the winning percentage set on the game to determine the win/loss ratio if it will match to the outcome or not. 300K is indeed a good size for sample imho which can already use to check the math.
What I’m skeptical about this was all the original games of Stake is provably fair. I’m not sure how they can cheat with the result.
Let's Address Both Stake's Claims and Eternad's QuestionsQuote
From Stake's Official Blackjack Description:
Quote
"Our Blackjack game features the lowest house edge in the industry, at just 0.57%. Therefore, Stake Original Blackjack has a theoretical return to player percentage of 99.43%."
Now, Let's Break Down The Reality:
- 1. Advertised vs Actual Metrics:
- Claimed House Edge: 0.57%
- Claimed RTP: 99.43%
- Actual Results (180,900 bets):
• Expected Loss: ~$30,000
• Statistical Impossibility: 24.66σ deviation
• Actual Edge: Approximately 8% - 2. Regarding "Provably Fair":
- Provably fair only verifies the randomness of card selection
- It doesn't:
• Guarantee fair game rules
• Verify proper house edge implementation
• Ensure correct payout implementation
• Protect against backend manipulation - 3. Mathematical Proof of Manipulation:
- 180,900 bets is not just a "good sample" - it's statistically conclusive
- Law of large numbers should force convergence to stated house edge
- 24.66σ deviation is less likely than:
• Winning every lottery ever held
• Being struck by lightning while winning Powerball
• Finding a specific atom in the universe
To Address Eternad's Specific Questions:
- 1. "What game?":
- Stake Original Blackjack
- Clearly advertised 0.57% house edge
- Documented in their own promotional material - 2. "How can they cheat with provably fair?":
- Provably fair only verifies card selection
- House edge implementation happens after
- Game rules and payouts can be manipulated
- Backend processing can alter outcomes
The Statistical Impossibility:
- If their 0.57% house edge was true:
- Expected Loss: $904.5
- Maximum Deviation (0.4%): $723.6
- Maximum Possible Loss: $1,628.1
- Actual Loss: $30,000 - This Means:
- 18.4x higher than maximum possible loss
- Statistical impossibility by any measure
- Clear evidence of manipulation
- Provably fair system being used as cover
Note: When a platform advertises 0.57% house edge but delivers 8% losses over 180,900 bets, it's not variance - it's fraud.
#ProveTheProvablyFair #RealNumbersDontLie #StatisticalEvidence #FraudExposed