Definitionally, long term versus short term is based on time and not price.  You are mixing up your terms @SuperBitMan if you cannot (or if you are refusing to) see the difference between time and price.


Again you are convoluting two ideas.. time and price.  If we presume that the 80-year old got into bitcoin more than 4 years previously, then maybe he has already been exercising selling plans that could be time-based, price-based or a combination of the two.  You cannot be presuming that the mere fact that someone is 80 years old falls into urgency merely because the BTC price goes up, and you cannot presume that the 80-year old might not have already had a plan regarding what to do that is not ONLY based on BTC price moves.


You are being a bit unrealistic to be attempting to describe people who started accumulating BTC since bitcoin's early days, especially since the further back you go, the more atypical such a person's situation would have had been.

I get your idea that you are wanting to suggest that someone who started accumulating bitcoin early is likely going to be in a better position to sell BTC, yet I still would have my doubts that on the face of it, they would give two shits about $100k as if it were some kind of a meaningful price to take actions different from actions that they had previously already been taking.

You really seem to be tying a lot of significance on $100k as a price, and I doubt that such price has even close to as much significance as you are seeming to want to attribute to it.

Furthermore, your being in bitcoin right around 4 months (going by your forum registration date) causes me to  consider that you might just be spouting out ideas that you have hardly any experiential knowledge about... to the extent that anything you are saying relates to your own situation or to any members who you might be wanting to appeal to in regards to what you believe is going on in the thoughts of fellow bitcoiners.. ... and surely it comes off as a form of projecting your own seemingly ill-informed ideas onto what you consider to be motivations of bitcoiners of differing experiential levels.


Fair enough that guys holding bitcoin get excited whenever we get into price discovery areas, so when we are reaching new all time highs, sure there is excitement in that, yet it also seems that the level of excitement is truly going to vary in regards to how well-prepared any older bitcoiner might be in regards to whether he had already been stacking BTC aggressively or if he might start to have regrets over his level of stacking.  Sure, many of the members who have been stacking longer are likely already largely prepared for BTC prices to go up, yet even some times guys who had been stacking BTC for longer periods of time will come to realize that they had been being too whimpy in their BTC stacking practices from earlier times, yet maybe a bit unsure about what to do about such realization of their earlier BTC stacking whimpiness.

I think that there have been several forum members who will tend to try to help out other newer forum members to try to help them to prepare themselves to stack BTC as aggressively as they can without over doing it, and so surely there will be some forum members who will realize that they had been as aggressive in their BTC stacking as they were reasonably able to be, so they will have no regrets about their own performance, yet surely I also tend to believe that so many members do not necessarily stack even close to as aggressively as they should have had done, yet there should be no need to really get overly worried about how aggressive a person had been in their stacking of BTC, especially if they realize that a lot of regular people do not even own any BTC yet, and so there are a lot of regular people who are just sitting on the sidelines with hardly any clue about why the BTC price is going up.. and they likely don't own any either.


It tends to be very difficult to resist getting into a situation in which you end up selling too much too soon or that you refuse to continue to stack... which can be very problematic for guys who already don't have very many coins, but they start to have dilemmas about continuing to buy or waiting for dips... and yeah, if your DCA is taking place on a weekly basis, then maybe the dilemma about whether to buy or not is ONLY once a week, but yeah it can be difficult, and you might not even be able to judge whether you did the right thing or not until 4-10 years or more later.


I suppose that is why it helps for any newbie to already have a vision for how long he is planning to stack, and sure, he could also start to consider that he had front loaded his investment when it is not true.  It can take quite a bit of practice to get into the right mindset and to stay in the right mindset.  There are going to be traders who come in and say "I told you so" too.. especially when the BTC price dips.. and so it can be difficult to stay on track when in the short term some of the traders might appear to be doing better.. even though in the long run, there are not too many of them who actually do better than the guy who is just continuously, persistently and consistently buying BTC.


Yep.  I am not going to say it is easy, since it isn't easy... and no one can really help you, except yourself, and you are responsible for whatever you end up deciding to do..since no one is going to bail you out if you screw up or even necessarily appreciate it when you do the right thing since sometimes it can take many years for the newbie's BTC portfolio to get to a spot that it becomes more obvious about whether he did the right thing or not.


We are only talking about bitcoin in this thread, so you might want to figure out if you might be lost and in the wrong thread, since I don't know what the fuck cryptocurrency has to do with this thread, or figuring out which coin to buy.  Maybe you should rethink what you are saying in terms of the topic of this thread so you can clarify what you mean.

If you were talking about bitcoin, then sure you could have just used the word bitcoin, but I get the sense that you don't know what you are talking about and maybe you don't even know the difference between bitcoin and shitcoins... otherwise what does any "particular coin" have to do with our discussion in this thread?


I am getting the sense that you might not even know what bitcoin is, since you seem to continue to be implying that there are some other coins out there that are worth investing into.. or perhaps you are talking about trading?  Surely it is not really clear what you are talking about, and perhaps you don't even know, unless you might want to clarify what you mean and focus on bitcoin rather than trying to make references to shitcoins without even saying what it is that you mean exactly by "particular coins" that might be somehow related to the topic of this thread.


I doubt that everything is good when it comes to selling BTC, especially since the vast majority of people in the world either don't have any bitcoin or they are in a low coiner status or they are in their BTC accumulation stages, so there are way more people who should not be selling bitcoin than should be selling bitcoin.

Sure once a person has been in bitcoin for a while and they have accurately determined themselves to either have enough BTC or more than enough BTC, then those people might be able to sell bitcoin at any price and not really be worried about screwing up... but there are not very many normal people who fit into that category.

Personally, I believe that trading is not a very good strategy or practice when it comes to bitcoin, except perhaps a very narrow number of folks who can figure out how to do it in such a way that they are able to exceed the advantages of the regular bitcoin accumulator and/or HODLer... and even the traders who are good at it, might end up fucking up because they fail/refuse to actually know bitcoin well enough in order to protect themselves from not getting reckt when the BTC price goes in one direction or another (especially up) at a time that was outside of their expectations.


I have no disagreement with any of this.