An interesting decision you made here, but I can understand why you are taking this shot. But I think you are good to go with your bet if Jake Paul survives the first two to three rounds. I think this is the most dangerous phase during the fight with respect to your bet. I don't think that Tyson will be able to knock Jake Paul out after round 3 as Paul will be more agile and his movement will probably be quick enough to avoid any lucky punches. But in the first two to three rounds I think Tyson is going to explode and trying to escalate like a volcano. Then it could end badly for Paul if he can't keep the distance. I wouldn't want Tyson within an arms length of my face.