With AS Roma condition this season, Napoli should be able to take advantage of the condition to steal points because this victory will return them to the top of the Serie A standings. The 13th match is the capital that Conte needs to maximize, he managed to bring Napoli in his first season very well so AS Roma must be defeated badly. For Conte there is no option to share points at this time.
Napoli didn't play very confidently the last 2 games either, especially bad was the game with Atalanta who beat Napoli 3-0, but I agree that things are even worse for Roma, if not terrible. In the last 5 games, Roma managed to win only once and that victory was over Torino with a score of 1:0, so the odds of 1.8 for Napoli seem justified, besides Napoli at home does not lose to Roma since 2018.
Of course, if you believe in Roma you can risk betting on Roma's victory with great odds of 4.9, but I somehow have little faith in such an outcome and the maximum that Roma is capable of is a draw.
Roma is still a top Serie A team so they cannot be underestimated especially after making a change of coach so it is possible to make a surprise in this match even though Napoli is still favored because Napoli will play at home and Napoli is also in top form so far.
Don't just focus or be tempted by big odds, I think for our betting choices we must be realistic and put greed aside.
In betting choices in the match I think it is wiser to bet on Napoli's victory.
You were right when you said to bet on Napoli and the miracle did not happen, and Napoli won,with a minimum score 1:0, but did not spoil the statistic that they have not lost at home to Roma since 2018. The game itself was played with the advantage of Napoli and except for Dovbic's shot from Roma I don't remember any dangerous moments, but Napoli pressed well, especially in the first half and Lukaku could have scored in the first half, but was unlucky then.
So far Roma's statistics are very sad and out of the last 6 games, they have lost 5.
Ranieri has not yet been able to reverse this negative trend.
I knew it that Napoli will get all three points from Roma but I never expected it to be 1-0. I expected it to be at least 2-0. However, winning the game is the most important thing that they achieved, because Inter, Fiorentina and Atalanta have already won theirs. The battle for the title race is on and in the next few weeks we will see which of these clubs can continue to keep up with its consistency till the end, because amongst the top four clubs on the table one or two will not be able to maintain the point gap, just as only 4 out of 6 could keep themselves on track this past weekend.