Barcelona needs a win in this match because they let Real Madrid get too close, but the odds for Barcelona to win are too low to bet on them, and Las Palmas are not as good as they used to be, they have a weak defense, they can't stand up to Barcelona's attack. Real Madrid will play Getafe, they also need a win and the odds are 1.39 which looks much better.
The odds is telling you more precisely what the outcome of the match will be, so you should know better that Barcelona will be winning this match ahead of Las Palmas. Barcelona may have lost some points and allowed Real Madrid to get closer to them, but that’s doesn’t mean they can easily overthrow them from the first position, they will face a hard time doing that. Real Madrid will also have a good time with Getafe, I foresee a win for them in this match also.
And from several matches played by Barcelona, Lamine Yamal became the key to victory, when Yamal was absent the concern would end in a draw was very big. Hopefully Yamal returns to the main squad to help Barcelona achieve a landslide victory to widen the points gap. Real Madrid might be overwhelmed facing Getafe, once again this is not about superiority but about Madrid consistency which is not 100% guaranteed.
It won’t be easy for Real Madrid to take that first position even when Barcelona falters, they need an extra consistency in their games before they can achieve that which I’m not seeing from them of recent. I feel the standing will continue to be like this for a while until we see a rather more consistent Real Madrid or a weaker Barcelona in the coming weeks.