Yes of course, it means that the instinct is still neutral in the sense that it cannot be used as something to control the results in the game or it can also be said that the instinct can direct you to two things, namely winning or losing, meaning that of course most of it still depends on how lucky you are when running the session, because sometimes when our instincts work we usually feel that it seems like option A is much better than B but we don't know what the reason is and it turns out that in the end it is surprising that we managed to win or it was the most appropriate decision that turned out to result in victory, surely we also would not have guessed that our choice was right and isn't it right to say that luck made you choose that decision? of course because from the start you chose based on your feelings.
Yes, you are right with that because instinct can not always work over and over so we can not rely on that every time we gamble. We must use our analysis and skill to find the team that have a chance to win. We can use our instinct when we don't know what to choice and we decide to quiet for a while to thinks and listen to our instinct and that could help us to decide. I have an experienced from your example but I don't know what the reason and I still choose what my feelings says. It surprisingly I can win following my instinct but when I want to repeat the same, I can not win anymore and only losses. So I guess that instinct already change into our greed that lead us to keep playing gambling without thinks about taking a break for a while.
Yes, and that's why I said that instinct is still neutral because it can't always work according to expectations or can't always produce victory every time, on the other hand if the type of game we play is sports betting then yes of course as you believe that instinct should only be used when you have absolutely no idea about which team is stronger or which team is much more superior in the match, but if for example you have a way or skill to analyze both teams then of course it's better to use that method because analysis is an action to find out which team has been much better over the past few times and that is also usually based on statistics.
Well you have also experienced it yourself and it has proven to be true.