I fixed the first link, you should be able to download it now, but there's been a development; Stedsm responded to the group chat today!
One of them coinky-dinkies, he lost his phone and couldn't possibly access Bitcointalk for a year or however long it's been but somehow noticed this thread.
I mean for all I know he's really going through tough times and I certainly wouldn't want to make fun of that, but at the very least he should address the obvious link with the 0double0 account.
Other than that I don't see anything particularly contradictory to the theory that marco/Stedsm/0double0 is the same person. irfan_pak10 seems to be saying there that he's backing out of the idea to control Stedsm's e-mail.