How big is the chance for Man United to win the derby considering that their team's condition is also not so stable and the match will take place at Man City's home ground so they will be much more under pressure. Even though Man City's performance is in bad condition, I am not so sure Man United will benefit because their performance is still quite inconsistent.
This will be a difficult match to predict because both teams are in unstable conditions. But if we look at the chances, I am more confident that Man City will win the match, but it is possible that a draw will be what both teams hope for because they will play a little more carefully.
For now I have no doubts about Manchester United's team performance even though their level of consistency in winning matches is still difficult to predict. However, seeing Manchester City's condition is also not good and in this derby match there could also be fierce competition, so I will favor Manchester United as long as the goalkeeper from the Manchester United team does not make a fatal mistake when the match is underway. A draw is indeed possible in the match, but Manchester United will try to win in order to bring their position to a better place. Meanwhile, Manchester City will also try not to lose at home because that would certainly be very embarrassing for them.