Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: The Myth of Hot Streaks
by
Poker Player
on 14/12/2024, 03:30:37 UTC
However, I try to do some research and there are no basis for it, I guess I was just so lucky that night.

From a mathematical point of view, there is none. What we call streaks are collections of independent mathematical events that we make later, and where we arbitrarily take a first point and an end point and if it favors us we say it is a good streak and if it is the opposite we say it is a bad streak.

How about you guys, have you experienced it before?

Of course.

Did you really feel invincible and thought that you are in a streak and no one can stop you?

Not having the feeling of being invincible but of being better than you are. Nowadays, and already years ago, it is very common to use statistics programs if you play poker. In them you can see if you are having luck or bad luck (colloquially speaking) in the EV line, which measures the difference between the expected results and the real results when you go all in. But there is a part of luck that is not shown by the program, which is the luck you have when you don't go all in. When you still have to bet on the river and you get the wonderful card or when you are lucky enough to catch a strong hand, better than your opponent's, when he catches a strong hand too and therefore he is going to leave more money or even all of it in the play.

When you have a good run, especially at the beginning, and you see that you are beating a lot of bb/100 and the EV is more or less equal, you think it's because you are very good, but then time puts things in their place.