Liverpool have a much heavier schedule in the next five matches because they have to face Tottenham, Man United and Nottingham Forest and if they are unable to maximize the three matches, it is likely that Chelsea will be able to win the first position. The next five matches Chelsea will face a much easier match because it will not face a much stronger team, so Chelsea's chances of catching up points from Liverpool are very large.
This is the best opportunity for Chelsea but it takes consistency to be able to collect full points in the five matches. Enzo Marsca will definitely understand this opportunity will be a big hope for them and surely he will provide much better results to be able to rank first in the standings.
Without us realizing, Chelsea is getting closer to the top of the standings, all thanks to Enzo Maresca's intelligence. He managed to suddenly bring Chelsea to become a title contender, even since the beginning of the season no one predicted Chelsea would be like this. In fact, all Chelsea players have transformed to be more productive in breaking into the opponent's goal.
Chelsea's collective game this season is very good even though individually they are mediocre when compared to big stars like Salah, KDB, Rodri, etc. But that's where the advantage is because the difference between the main players and the reserves is the same, so they are like a team with the breath of a tireless horse because rotation will not have much effect.
The analysis as you conveyed is very true, if you look at the next five matches for the two opposing teams that Liverpool must face, they are much stronger than Chelsea. So Chelsea has the opportunity to overtake Liverpool, especially if the team that usually only relies on core players when entering a busy schedule like boxing day immediately slumps.
My belief in Chelsea is likely to overtake Liverpool because Chelsea is a club full of surprises. When they were the underdogs to win the title, they came out on top. If you look at the 2012 UCL, 2017 EPL, and 2021 UCL, it's proof that when Chelsea fought, they were able to win the prestigious title.